Geo-Intelligence Terminal Guide: Geopolitical Risk and Gold

The Geo-Intelligence Terminal is GoldKurs.ch's unique tool for monitoring geopolitical risk and its impact on gold and energy prices. It aggregates data from diplomatic, military and economic sources to produce a daily Geopolitical Risk Score.

What the Terminal Shows

Active Conflict Map: Real-time mapping of active armed conflicts, sanctions regimes, and diplomatic crises. Each conflict is scored by: proximity to major gold trading centres, potential impact on USD/CHF, energy price implications, and likelihood of escalation.

Geopolitical Risk Score (0–100): A composite score updated daily. Readings above 65 have historically correlated with elevated gold prices. The January 2026 gold ATH of 5,595 USD coincided with a Geo Risk Score of 84 — one of the highest readings on record.

Sanctions Database: Current sanctions regimes and their potential impact on gold trade flows (e.g., Russian gold export restrictions affecting supply).

Using the Terminal for Investment Decisions

The Geo Risk Score is not a standalone trading signal but provides important context: when Geo Risk Score is high AND real rates are low AND COMEX positioning is not yet extreme — this is historically the most bullish configuration for gold.